Polling Report

DemosAU QLD State Polling Results - February 2026

Queensland's LNP is weathering the surge in support for One Nation better than its Coalition counterparts interstate and in Canberra. On a two-party preferred basis, the LNP leads 56% to 44%, up 2.2% since the last election. While there has been a primary vote swing against the LNP, it is muted compared to what has occurred nationally.

Ace Strategies exclusive DemosAU State Poll — Queensland, Brisbane city skyline at night

The poll of 1,044 Queenslanders, conducted from 10 to 20 February 2026, shows the LNP leading on 34% (down 7.5% from last election), ahead of Labor on 28% (down 4.6%), One Nation on 21% (up 13%) and the Greens on 10% unchanged.

At a time when we are seeing the Federal Coalition poll below 20% nationwide due to the One Nation surge, the fact that the LNP is on 34% in One Nation home state is significant.

How this poll was conducted

Fieldwork
10–20 February 2026
Sample
1,044 respondents (702 effective, after weighting)
Margin of error
±3.7%
Population
Queensland
Method
Internet panel survey of Queenslanders aged 18+ eligible to vote, rim weighted by Age × gender, education, personal income, residential tenure, region, 2024 state vote, and left–right self-identification. State voting intention was the first substantive question after demographics.
Commissioned by
Premier National

DemosAU QLD State Polling Results February 2026

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