Polling Archive
Every DemosAU/Ace Strategies polling wave — federal and state.
Federal Voting Intention
New polling points to a hung Australian parliament
A mega-poll of 9,343 voters projects Labor on 60–72 seats and One Nation on 53–66, against the 76 needed to govern — neither side reaching a majority in its own right. One Nation would be within arms reach of forming government with the sup...
article Read the analysis download Download Full DataDemosAU Federal Polling Results - July 2026
The DemosAU Federal Poll conducted in July 2026 shows support for One Nation has dipped slightly as Pauline Hanson's personal brand takes a hit following her National Press Club address. The poll of 2,694 Australians shows that on a primary...
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Federal polling across 1,497 Australians. Female voters may be moving away from Anthony Albanese, with the latest poll showing a significant decline in Labor's support among women. Labor has a 3-point lead over One Nation among men, but tra...
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Capital Brief/DemosAU federal poll of 1,502 Australians. Primary vote: One Nation 28%, Labor 26%, Coalition 23%, Greens 13%. Fieldwork: 15–20 May 2026.
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Federal MRP model across 8,424 respondents. One Nation surges to 27% nationally. Seat projection: Labor 83, One Nation 52, Coalition 9. Fieldwork: Jan–Mar 2026.
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Comprehensive MRP model of Australian federal voting intention for Oct/Nov 2025. Seat-by-seat projections across all 150 House of Representatives electorates.
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DemosAU SA State Polling Results - June 2026
Support for One Nation has continued to climb in South Australia following the March election. Peter Malinauskas' Labor has lost ground, according to new polling, although he remains the most popular political leader in the country.
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Final pre-election SA State poll of 1,242 South Australians. Primary vote: Labor 37%, One Nation 23%, Liberal 17%, Greens 11%. Fieldwork: 12–18 March 2026.
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SA State voting intention poll of 1,070 South Australians. Primary vote: Labor 43%, One Nation 19%, Liberal 18%, Greens 12%. Fieldwork: 31 Jan – 16 Feb 2026.
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SA State voting intention poll of 1,006 South Australians. Labor leads 66–34 on TPP. Primary vote: Labor 47%, Liberal 21%, Greens 13%. Fieldwork: 6–15 October 2025.
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DemosAU NSW State Polling Results - June 2026
The DemosAU poll results would turn NSW state politics upside down. In regional and rural NSW, One Nation is ascendent on 37% taking votes from Liberals, Nationals and Independents. It is possible that One Nation could win all of the Coalit...
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Minn' popularity climbs as One Nation splits conservative vote in NSW. The latest state voting intention poll shows Labor leading on a primary vote basis while the Coalition and One Nation are almost tied. If preferences flowed as per the 2...
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Labor had jumped out to a large lead over the NSW Liberal National Coalition, leading 59-41% on a two-party preferred basis, according to a DemosAU poll. While the primary vote for Labor remained almost unchanged since the last election at...
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DemosAU VIC State Polling Results - June 2026
The state Liberal National Coalition has extended its lead ahead of the Victorian election, with Labor relegated to third party place on primary votes by a rising One Nation vote. The DemosAU poll of 1,056 voters between 7 and 11 June 2026...
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The poll shows a surge in support for One Nation, but the Liberal National Coalition remains in poll position. The survey of 1,274 Victorian voters, conducted from 1-10 February 2026, shows One Nation's primary vote reaching 21%, behind Lab...
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If a state election was held in Victoria, 37% of the 1,017 voters polled would select the Liberal National Coalition, compared to 26% (-10.7% change since the last election) of voters who would choose Labor. 15% selected The Greens and 22%...
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DemosAU QLD State Polling Results - June 2026
The Crisafulli LNP government has extended its lead over the Labor opposition, despite a continued rise in support for One Nation. On a two-party preferred basis, the LNP leads Labor 58-42, a 4.2% swing in the government's direction. since...
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Queensland's LNP is weathering the surge in support for One Nation better than its Coalition counterparts interstate and in Canberra. On a two-party preferred basis, the LNP leads 56% to 44%, up 2.2% since the last election. While there has...
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The Crisafulli Government maintains a clear lead over Labor in Queensland on the eve of its one-year anniversary, leading 54-46% on a two-party preferred basis, despite losing voters to One Nation since the last election.
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DemosAU WA State Polling Results - June 2026
The Labor two-party preferred vote has slipped four percentage points since February 2026 but Roger Cook’s party remains ahead of the Liberals 53-47%, according to a DemosAU poll.
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There has been a surge in One Nation support in Western Australia, with the latest poll showing a 13% swing, at the expense of the major parties with Labor (-5.4%) and Liberal (7.0%), since he last election. On a two-party preferred basis L...
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Labor leads the Liberals 56–44 on a two-party preferred basis in a state voting intention poll of 948 voters. In the poll conducted between 30 October - 4 November, respondents were asked which party they would vote for. On a primary vote b...
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DemosAU TAS State Polling Results - February 2026
Support for the Liberal government in Tasmania remains strong according to a poll conducted from 27 January to 12 February 2026. From a survey of 1,071 voters, the Liberals achieved a primary vote of 35%, compared to Labor on 23%, Independe...
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If a state election for Tasmania was held now, 41% of voters would select the Liberal party, compared to 24% who would prefer Labor, 15% The Greens, 14% Independents, 2% the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers party, and 4% would prefer any other...
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