Polling Report
· 6 March 2026
DemosAU NSW State Polling Results - March 2026
Minn' popularity climbs as One Nation splits conservative vote in NSW. The latest state voting intention poll shows Labor leading on a primary vote basis while the Coalition and One Nation are almost tied. If preferences flowed as per the 2023 state election this would result in a two-party preferred of 61-39% to Labor.
· 6 March 2026
DemosAU poll conducted 24 February to 4 March 2026.
Primary vote: Labor 34%, Liberal/National Coalition 23%, One Nation 21%, Greens 15%, Other 7%.
Preferred Premier: Chris Minns (Labor) 48%, Kellie Sloane (Liberal) 24%, Don't Know 28%.
Sample: 1,032 people from NSW. Effective margin of error 3.6%.
How this poll was conducted
- Fieldwork
- 24 February – 4 March 2026
- Sample
- 1,032 respondents (728 effective, after weighting)
- Margin of error
- ±3.6%
- Population
- New South Wales
- Method
- Internet panel survey of New South Wales residents aged 18+ eligible to vote, rim weighted by Age × gender, education, personal income, residential tenure, region, 2025 federal vote, and left–right self-identification. State voting intention was the first substantive question after demographics.
- Commissioned by
- Premier National