Polling Report
· 27 October 2025
DemosAU TAS State Polling Results - October 2025
If a state election for Tasmania was held now, 41% of voters would select the Liberal party, compared to 24% who would prefer Labor, 15% The Greens, 14% Independents, 2% the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers party, and 4% would prefer any other candidate.
· 27 October 2025
46% of Tasmanians would choose the Liberal's Jeremy Rockliff as their Premier, compared to 34% who would prefer Labor's Josh Willies and 20% who don't know.
How this poll was conducted
- Fieldwork
- 16–27 October 2025
- Sample
- 1,021 respondents
- Margin of error
- ±4.4%
- Population
- Tasmania
- Method
- Survey of Tasmanian voters aged 18+ by internet panel (87%) and random device engagement (13%), rim weighted by Age × gender, education, residential tenure, location, 2025 federal vote and 2025 state election vote, and left–right self-identification. State voting intention was the first substantive question after demographics.