Ben Carroll approval rating and preferred premier, 2026
This page was last updated on . It follows every Victorian poll that has rated Ben Carroll, in each house's own measure, and it is rebuilt from the same register as the Victorian election polls 2026 tracker.
Ben Carroll became Labor Premier of Victoria on 28 July 2026, and nine polls from six houses have rated the new Premier since. On preferred premier, the one question every house asks the same way, Ben Carroll has trailed in every one of the eight polls that asked. On the leader personally, each house asks its own question, so those readings are shown side by side rather than averaged: they run from −28 (Newspoll, 15–22 Oct 2026) to +8 (Roy Morgan, 5–7 Aug 2026), and the most recent is −28 from Newspoll.
Preferred premier
This is the one question every house puts the same way, so it is the one reading on this page that can be set side by side without a caveat. Eight Victorian polls have asked voters to choose between the Premier and the Opposition Leader with Ben Carroll as one of the names.
Ben Carroll has trailed in every one of the eight polls that asked
Each row is one poll, newest last. The margin is the Opposition Leader's share less the Premier's, so a positive margin is a lead for the opposition whichever way round the two names sit.
| House | Fieldwork | Opposition Leader | % | Premier | % | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freshwater Strategy | 31 Jul – 3 Aug 2026 | Jess Wilson | 32 | Ben Carroll | 19 | +13 |
| DemosAU | 6–11 Aug 2026 | Jess Wilson | 43 | Ben Carroll | 34 | +9 |
| Resolve Strategic | 9–15 Aug 2026 | Jess Wilson | 26 | Ben Carroll | 20 | +6 ⚑ three-way question, Warren Pickering 10% |
| Resolve Strategic | 6–12 Sep 2026 | Jess Wilson | 28 | Ben Carroll | 20 | +8 ⚑ three-way question, Warren Pickering 8% Read the companion post |
| Freshwater Strategy | 24–28 Sep 2026 | Jess Wilson | 45 | Ben Carroll | 33 | +12 |
| RedBridge / Accent | 2–8 Oct 2026 | Jess Wilson | 28 | Ben Carroll | 19 | +9 ⚑ three-way question, Warren Pickering 8% |
| Resolve Strategic | 6–10 Oct 2026 | Jess Wilson | 29 | Ben Carroll | 22 | +7 ⚑ three-way question, Warren Pickering 14% |
| Newspoll | 15–22 Oct 2026 | Jess Wilson | 48 | Ben Carroll | 34 | +14 |
A poll that offered a third name is flagged in its own row, because a three-way question and a two-way question do not put the same choice to a voter. The same rows are drawn as a chart on the tracker's preferred-premier panel.
RedBridge / Accent, Freshwater Strategy, Roy Morgan, DemosAU, Resolve Strategic, Newspoll · Margins as published · Ace Strategies analysis
Every poll that has rated Ben Carroll
The houses ask different questions, so these readings are shown side by side rather than averaged into one figure. They run from −28 to +8, and the spread between them is as much a fact about the questions as it is about Ben Carroll.
Ben Carroll's readings run from −28 to +8 across six houses
Each dot is one poll and each row is one house. A net rating is the favourable or approving share less the unfavourable or disapproving one, and the measure named with each house says what it asked. The caption beneath the chart gives the scale it is drawn on.
| House | Fieldwork | Measure | Figures | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RedBridge / Accent | 28 Jul – 1 Aug 2026 | favourability (net) | Favourable 14%, unfavourable 29% | −15 |
| Freshwater Strategy | 31 Jul – 3 Aug 2026 | favourability (net) | Favourable 22%, unfavourable 29% | −7 |
| Roy Morgan | 5–7 Aug 2026 | job approval (net) | Approve 51%, disapprove 43% | +8 |
| DemosAU | 6–11 Aug 2026 | favourability (net) | Favourable 21%, neutral 42%, unfavourable 37% | −16 |
| Resolve Strategic | 9–15 Aug 2026 | likeability (net) | Net rating only | −4 |
| DemosAU | 10–20 Sep 2026 | favourability (net) | Favourable 23%, neutral 40%, unfavourable 37% Read the companion post | −14 |
| Freshwater Strategy | 24–28 Sep 2026 | favourability (net) | Favourable 27.1%, unfavourable 34.1% | −7 |
| RedBridge / Accent | 2–8 Oct 2026 | favourability (net) | Favourable 19%, unfavourable 37% | −18 |
| Newspoll | 15–22 Oct 2026 | satisfaction (net) | Satisfied 30%, dissatisfied 58% | −28 |
Nothing here is averaged across houses. A satisfaction question and a favourability question measure different things, and the tracker's leader ladder draws each house as its own line for the same reason.
RedBridge / Accent, Freshwater Strategy, Roy Morgan, DemosAU, Resolve Strategic, Newspoll · Each house's own measure · Figures as published
The Premier before 28 July
Jacinta Allan's readings are here because they are the baseline against which Ben Carroll's are read: the same houses, the same questions, and a series that runs from −46 to −21.
Jacinta Allan's readings ran from −46 to −21
The same houses asked the same questions of Jacinta Allan, so this table is the scale Ben Carroll's readings sit on rather than a separate story.
| House | Fieldwork | Measure | Figures | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newspoll | 23–30 Jun 2025 | satisfaction (net) | Satisfied 30%, dissatisfied 61% | −31 |
| Resolve Strategic | 1 Jul – 17 Aug 2025 | likeability (net) | Net rating only | −21 |
| Resolve Strategic | 1 Sep – 12 Oct 2025 | likeability (net) | Net rating only | −21 |
| Newspoll | 18–20 Nov 2025 | satisfaction (net) | Satisfied 26%, dissatisfied 68% | −42 |
| DemosAU | 1–10 Feb 2026 | favourability (net) | Favourable 16%, neutral 31%, unfavourable 53% | −37 |
| Freshwater Strategy | 19–23 Mar 2026 | favourability (net) | Net rating only | −32 |
| Freshwater Strategy | 5–8 Jun 2026 | favourability (net) | Net rating only | −37 |
| DemosAU | 7–11 Jun 2026 | favourability (net) | Favourable 18%, neutral 25%, unfavourable 57% | −39 |
| RedBridge / Accent | 17–28 Jun 2026 | favourability (net) | Favourable 17%, neutral 24%, unfavourable 59% | −42 |
| Resolve Strategic | 6–12 Jul 2026 | likeability (net) | Net rating only | −36 |
| Newspoll | 23–26 Jul 2026 | satisfaction (net) | Satisfied 25%, dissatisfied 71% | −46 |
Newspoll, Resolve Strategic, DemosAU, Freshwater Strategy, RedBridge / Accent · Each house's own measure · Figures as published
How to read this page
The houses ask different questions. Newspoll asks whether voters are satisfied or dissatisfied, DemosAU, RedBridge and Freshwater ask whether their view is favourable or unfavourable, Roy Morgan asks whether they approve or disapprove, and Resolve publishes a net likeability figure only. Those are different things, so no figure on this page averages across houses, and the tracker's leader ladder draws each house as its own line for the same reason.
Every figure is transcribed from the pollster's own release and held in one register, which also feeds the leader ladder and preferred-premier charts on the tracker and the CSV of every wave. When a new poll rates Ben Carroll, this page changes with it.
Questions people ask
- What is Ben Carroll's approval rating?
- There is no single figure. Nine polls from six houses have rated Ben Carroll since 1 August 2026, and each asks its own question, so the readings are shown side by side rather than averaged. They run from −28 (Newspoll, 15–22 Oct 2026) to +8 (Roy Morgan, 5–7 Aug 2026), and the most recent is −28 from Newspoll, fielded 15–22 Oct 2026.
- Is Ben Carroll preferred premier?
- Of the eight Victorian polls that have asked with Ben Carroll as one of the names, the Premier has trailed in every one. The most recent, Newspoll's of 15–22 Oct 2026, put Jess Wilson on 48 per cent and Ben Carroll on 34 per cent.
- Which poll rated Ben Carroll most recently?
- Newspoll's poll fielded 15–22 Oct 2026 is the most recent. It found satisfied 30%, dissatisfied 58%, a net of −28 on its satisfaction question.
- How is Ben Carroll's rating measured?
- Each house asks its own question and this page shows each as its own series: Newspoll publishes satisfaction, Resolve Strategic publishes likeability, RedBridge / Accent, Freshwater Strategy and DemosAU publish favourability and Roy Morgan publishes job approval. A net rating is the favourable, satisfied or approving share less the unfavourable, dissatisfied or disapproving one. No figure on this page or on the tracker averages one house's question with another's.