Morwell

Morwell covers 907.54 square kilometres of the Latrobe Valley. Traralgon, Morwell, Newborough, Churchill, Tyers, Hazelwood North, Callignee, Yallourn, Loy Yang and Maryvale lie wholly in the district. The district holds 84.5 per cent of the gazetted locality of Moe, 88.8 per cent of Moe South and 65.7 per cent of Yallourn North, shared with Narracan, and 57.9 per cent of Flynn and 17.3 per cent of Glengarry, shared with Gippsland South.

Enrolment stood at 55,014 in September 2026, up 1,232, or 2.3 per cent, on the 53,782 electors enrolled in 2022. The district adjoins Gippsland South to the north, east and south and Narracan to the west and north-west. At the 2021 Census its localities held 69,684 people on an area-weighted estimate, 21.3 per cent of them aged 65 and over, and 26.7 per cent of occupied dwellings were rented.

Martin Cameron has been the member for Morwell since 26 November 2022, sitting for the Nationals. He has been the Nationals' Whip in the Legislative Assembly since 5 June 2026, Shadow Assistant Minister for Energy Affordability since 7 January 2025, Shadow Assistant Minister for Small Business since 5 February 2026, an Acting Speaker since 12 May 2026 and Deputy Chair of the Assembly's Environment and Planning Committee since 8 March 2023. His inaugural speech was on 7 February 2023. There has been no change of party and no vacancy in Morwell since the 2022 election. He is the member and the Nationals his party of record as at 17 October 2026, and his offices are from his Parliament of Victoria profile, read 26 October 2026.

Twelve candidates stood on 26 November 2022. Kate Maxfield of Labor polled 13,601 first preferences, 31.4 per cent, and Cameron 9,902, 22.9 per cent. The Liberal Party also stood, and Dale Harriman's 6,710 votes, 15.5 per cent, took the Coalition's combined first preferences to 16,612, 38.4 per cent. Allan Hicken of One Nation polled 2,648, 6.1 per cent, and the eight other candidates between 1.1 and 5.8 per cent each. Of 46,787 votes cast by 87.0 per cent of the 53,782 electors enrolled, 3,526 were informal, 7.5 per cent.

The count ran to ten exclusions. The Greens' 2,285 votes went 1,456 to Maxfield, 63.7 per cent. Hicken was excluded ninth with 6,220 votes: 2,798, 45.0 per cent, went to Harriman, 2,278, 36.6 per cent, to Cameron and 1,144, 18.4 per cent, to Maxfield. Harriman was excluded last with 10,883 votes: 9,658 of them, 88.7 per cent, went to Cameron and 1,225, 11.3 per cent, to Maxfield. The final count was 23,541 to 19,720, 54.4 to 45.6 per cent, a Nationals margin of 4.4 points; a shift of 1,911 votes at that last exclusion would have reversed it. Against the Commission's estimate of the 2018 vote on the 2021 boundaries, Labor 54.0 per cent, the result was a swing of 8.4 points to the Nationals; against the 2018 figure on the old boundaries, Labor 52.4, it was 6.8 points to the Nationals. Both 2018 figures are Labor–Nationals two-party counts from an election an independent won.

Booth shares come from the Commission's indicative two-candidate count by voting centre, 23,801 to 19,749, which differs from the distribution's 23,541 to 19,720. Of its 46,793 votes, 26,602, or 56.9 per cent, were cast at the early voting centres at Traralgon and Morwell, and they split 56.3 to 43.7 for the Nationals, a lead of 3,111. The 16,105 election-day votes split 52.8 per cent to the Nationals, a lead of 837; postal votes, 6.1 per cent of the total, split 51.2 to the Nationals, a lead of 62; absent votes, 2.2 per cent, split 51.3 to the Nationals, a lead of 25.

The Nationals led at twelve of the 20 voting centres: the six in Traralgon, Hazelwood North, Glengarry, Tyers, Moe West, Morwell and Churchill. Hazelwood North at 68.5 per cent, Glengarry at 68.0 and Tyers at 65.1 were their strongest, and Morwell at 50.5 and Churchill at 50.1 their closest. Labor led at eight: Moe, Moe Central, Newborough, Newborough East, Yallourn North, Morwell East, Morwell Estate and Morwell Central, with Morwell East at 59.6 per cent, Moe Central at 57.2 and Newborough at 54.8 its strongest.

Morwell returned Labor members from 1970 to 2006 and Nationals members from 2006 to 2017, when the elected Nationals member became an independent. In 2010 Russell Northe, for the Nationals, won an absolute majority of first preferences, 56.1 per cent, and the indicative two-candidate count gave him 66.3 per cent, a margin of 16.3 points. In 2014, after the district was redrawn in 2013, Northe held it for the Nationals with 51.8 per cent after the distribution of preferences, a margin of 1.8 points. In 2018 he stood as an independent, polled 19.6 per cent of first preferences and won the distribution with 51.8 per cent against Labor's Mark Richards, a margin of 1.8 points. The Commission's two-party-preferred count for that election gave Labor 52.4 per cent against the Nationals' Sheridan Bond.

The Commission's stage-one proposal in 2021 left Morwell unchanged, with Moe in Narracan, because taking Moe in would have put the district above the 10 per cent tolerance. After objections at stage two it moved 7,403 electors in Moe and Moe South in from Narracan, and moved 1,293 electors in the Cowwarr–Toongabbie area in the north and 2,781 in the Yinnar and Boolarra area in the south out to Gippsland South. The redrawn district held 52,618 electors, 8.2 per cent above the average. The Commission estimated the 2018 two-party vote on the new boundaries at 54.0 per cent to Labor and 46.0 to the Nationals, a notional Labor margin of 4.0 points. There has been no by-election since 2022.

Morwell is the ninth rung on the Coalition side of the Assembly pendulum. Its margin of 4.4 points sits in the 2 to 6 band. A uniform two-party swing to Labor of more than 4.4 points changes the seat. The polls' average since the change of Premier stood at 54.0 to 46.0 to the Coalition on 26 October 2026, from ten polls, against a 2022 statewide result of 55.0 to 45.0 to Labor, an implied uniform swing of 9.0 points to the Coalition. At that swing the Nationals' share in Morwell rises from 54.4 to 63.4 per cent, and the 25 seats the average reaches are all Labor-held, so Morwell is not among them. The polls are on the Victorian election polls tracker, and the leaders' ratings on the pages for Ben Carroll's approval rating and Jess Wilson's approval rating.

In 2022 the count turned on the Liberal candidate's 10,883 last-exclusion votes, 88.7 per cent of which went to the Nationals. The electorate that votes on 28 November 2026 holds 55,014 electors against 53,782 in 2022.

Morwell is one of the eleven districts of Eastern Victoria Region, which elects five members of the Legislative Council. In 2022 the quota was 78,887 votes, and the members elected, in order, were Renee Heath (Liberal), Tom McIntosh (Labor), Melina Bath (The Nationals), Harriet Shing (Labor) and Jeff Bourman (Shooters, Fishers and Farmers). All five sit as at 17 October 2026. The region and its members are set out in the Council section of the hub.

Results, enrolment, boundaries and the timetable are from the Victorian Electoral Commission; the 2022 result is its distribution of preferences and the booth shares its two-candidate-preferred count by voting centre. Members and parties are those of record as at 17 October 2026, and members' offices are from the Parliament of Victoria profiles read 26 October 2026; enrolment is as at September 2026. Boundaries, localities and postcodes are Vicmap Admin, © State of Victoria, CC BY 4.0, matched to the district by area. Population figures are the Australian Bureau of Statistics 2021 Census, area-weighted by locality. The polls' average is the Victorian election 2026 hub's register, updated 26 October 2026.