Jess Wilson approval rating and preferred premier, 2026
This page was last updated on . It follows every Victorian poll that has rated Jess Wilson, in each house's own measure, and it is rebuilt from the same register as the Victorian election polls 2026 tracker.
Jess Wilson has led the Liberal opposition in Victoria since 18 November 2025, and thirteen polls from six houses have rated the Opposition Leader in that time. On preferred premier, the one question every house asks the same way, Jess Wilson has led in every one of the twelve polls that asked. On the leader personally, each house asks its own question, so those readings are shown side by side rather than averaged: they run from +1 (Newspoll, 18–20 Nov 2025) to +20 (Roy Morgan, 5–7 Aug 2026), and the most recent is +18 from Resolve Strategic.
Preferred premier
This is the one question every house puts the same way, so it is the one reading on this page that can be set side by side without a caveat. Twelve Victorian polls have asked voters to choose between the Premier and the Opposition Leader with Jess Wilson as one of the names.
Jess Wilson has led in every one of the twelve polls that asked
Each row is one poll, newest last. The margin is the Opposition Leader's share less the Premier's, so a positive margin is a lead for the opposition whichever way round the two names sit.
| House | Fieldwork | Opposition Leader | % | Premier | % | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolve Strategic | 1 Nov – 7 Dec 2025 | Jess Wilson | 39 | Jacinta Allan | 20 | +19 |
| Resolve Strategic | 15 Jan – 15 Feb 2026 | Jess Wilson | 39 | Jacinta Allan | 20 | +19 |
| DemosAU | 1–10 Feb 2026 | Jess Wilson | 40 | Jacinta Allan | 31 | +9 Read the companion post |
| Freshwater Strategy | 19–23 Mar 2026 | Jess Wilson | 47 | Jacinta Allan | 31 | +16 |
| Resolve Strategic | 12–18 Apr 2026 | Jess Wilson | 39 | Jacinta Allan | 20 | +19 |
| Freshwater Strategy | 5–8 Jun 2026 | Jess Wilson | 49 | Jacinta Allan | 25 | +24 |
| DemosAU | 7–11 Jun 2026 | Jess Wilson | 47 | Jacinta Allan | 28 | +19 Read the companion post |
| Newspoll | 23–26 Jul 2026 | Jess Wilson | 51 | Jacinta Allan | 32 | +19 |
| Freshwater Strategy | 31 Jul – 3 Aug 2026 | Jess Wilson | 32 | Ben Carroll | 19 | +13 |
| DemosAU | 6–11 Aug 2026 | Jess Wilson | 43 | Ben Carroll | 34 | +9 |
| Resolve Strategic | 9–15 Aug 2026 | Jess Wilson | 26 | Ben Carroll | 20 | +6 ⚑ three-way question, Warren Pickering 10% |
| Resolve Strategic | 6–12 Sep 2026 | Jess Wilson | 28 | Ben Carroll | 20 | +8 ⚑ three-way question, Warren Pickering 8% Read the companion post |
A poll that offered a third name is flagged in its own row, because a three-way question and a two-way question do not put the same choice to a voter. The same rows are drawn as a chart on the tracker's preferred-premier panel.
Newspoll, Resolve Strategic, DemosAU, Freshwater Strategy, RedBridge / Accent, Roy Morgan · Margins as published · Ace Strategies analysis
Every poll that has rated Jess Wilson
The houses ask different questions, so these readings are shown side by side rather than averaged into one figure. They run from +1 to +20, and the spread between them is as much a fact about the questions as it is about Jess Wilson.
Jess Wilson's readings run from +1 to +20 across six houses
Each dot is one poll and each row is one house, on an axis fixed from −60 to +60. A net rating is the favourable or approving share less the unfavourable or disapproving one, and the measure beneath each house names what it asked.
| House | Fieldwork | Measure | Figures | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newspoll | 18–20 Nov 2025 | satisfaction (net) | Satisfied 32%, dissatisfied 31% | +1 |
| Resolve Strategic | 1 Nov – 7 Dec 2025 | likeability (net) | Net rating only | +14 |
| DemosAU | 1–10 Feb 2026 | favourability (net) | Favourable 27%, neutral 49%, unfavourable 24% Read the companion post | +3 |
| Freshwater Strategy | 19–23 Mar 2026 | favourability (net) | Net rating only | +18 |
| Freshwater Strategy | 5–8 Jun 2026 | favourability (net) | Net rating only | +15 |
| DemosAU | 7–11 Jun 2026 | favourability (net) | Favourable 32%, neutral 46%, unfavourable 22% Read the companion post | +10 |
| RedBridge / Accent | 17–28 Jun 2026 | favourability (net) | Favourable 31%, neutral 51%, unfavourable 18% | +13 |
| Resolve Strategic | 6–12 Jul 2026 | likeability (net) | Net rating only | +13 |
| Newspoll | 23–26 Jul 2026 | satisfaction (net) | Satisfied 47%, dissatisfied 39% | +8 |
| RedBridge / Accent | 28 Jul – 1 Aug 2026 | favourability (net) | Favourable 33%, unfavourable 20% | +13 |
| Roy Morgan | 5–7 Aug 2026 | job approval (net) | Approve 58.5%, disapprove 38.5% | +20 |
| DemosAU | 6–11 Aug 2026 | favourability (net) | Favourable 35%, neutral 41%, unfavourable 24% | +11 |
| Resolve Strategic | 9–15 Aug 2026 | likeability (net) | Net rating only | +18 |
Nothing here is averaged across houses. A satisfaction question and a favourability question measure different things, and the tracker's leader ladder draws each house as its own line for the same reason.
Newspoll, Resolve Strategic, DemosAU, Freshwater Strategy, RedBridge / Accent, Roy Morgan · Each house's own measure · Figures as published
The Opposition Leader before 18 November 2025
Brad Battin's readings are here because they are the baseline against which Jess Wilson's are read: the same houses, the same questions, and a series that runs from −5 to +9.
Brad Battin's readings ran from −5 to +9
The same houses asked the same questions of Brad Battin, so this table is the scale Jess Wilson's readings sit on rather than a separate story.
| House | Fieldwork | Measure | Figures | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newspoll | 23–30 Jun 2025 | satisfaction (net) | Satisfied 35%, dissatisfied 40% | −5 |
| Resolve Strategic | 1 Sep – 12 Oct 2025 | likeability (net) | Net rating only | +9 |
Newspoll, Resolve Strategic · Each house's own measure · Figures as published
How to read this page
The houses ask different questions. Newspoll asks whether voters are satisfied or dissatisfied, DemosAU, RedBridge and Freshwater ask whether their view is favourable or unfavourable, Roy Morgan asks whether they approve or disapprove, and Resolve publishes a net likeability figure only. Those are different things, so no figure on this page averages across houses, and the tracker's leader ladder draws each house as its own line for the same reason.
Every figure is transcribed from the pollster's own release and held in one register, which also feeds the leader ladder and preferred-premier charts on the tracker and the CSV of every wave. When a new poll rates Jess Wilson, this page changes with it.
Questions people ask
- What is Jess Wilson's approval rating?
- There is no single figure. Thirteen polls from six houses have rated Jess Wilson since 20 November 2025, and each asks its own question, so the readings are shown side by side rather than averaged. They run from +1 (Newspoll, 18–20 Nov 2025) to +20 (Roy Morgan, 5–7 Aug 2026), and the most recent is +18 from Resolve Strategic, fielded 9–15 Aug 2026.
- Is Jess Wilson preferred premier?
- Of the twelve Victorian polls that have asked with Jess Wilson as one of the names, the Opposition Leader has led in every one. The most recent, Resolve Strategic's of 6–12 Sep 2026, put Jess Wilson on 28 per cent and Ben Carroll on 20 per cent, with Warren Pickering on 8 per cent.
- Which poll rated Jess Wilson most recently?
- Resolve Strategic's poll fielded 9–15 Aug 2026 is the most recent. It published a net likeability figure of +18 without the shares behind it.
- How is Jess Wilson's rating measured?
- Each house asks its own question and this page shows each as its own series: Newspoll publishes satisfaction, Resolve Strategic publishes likeability, RedBridge / Accent, Freshwater Strategy and DemosAU publish favourability and Roy Morgan publishes job approval. A net rating is the favourable, satisfied or approving share less the unfavourable, dissatisfied or disapproving one. No figure on this page or on the tracker averages one house's question with another's.