Polling Report

DemosAU Federal Polling Results - November 2025

Comprehensive MRP model of Australian federal voting intention for Oct/Nov 2025. Seat-by-seat projections across all 150 House of Representatives electorates.

DemosAU / Ace Strategies
DemosAU / Ace Strategies Intelligence & Insights
· 1 November 2025
Ace Strategies exclusive DemosAU Poll — Federal, Parliament House Canberra

DemosAU Multi-Level Regression and Poststratification (MRP) model of Australian federal voting intention, October/November 2025.

This comprehensive report projects seat-by-seat outcomes across all 150 House of Representatives electorates, using age, gender, education, income, state, region and 2025 Federal Election Vote as poststratification variables.

Primary vote (national): ALP 33%, LNP 24%, Greens 13%, One Nation 17%, Other 13%.

The model tracks the emerging disruption of the centre-right vote and the early rise of One Nation support nationally.

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