Polling Report
· 1 November 2025
DemosAU Federal Polling Results - November 2025
Comprehensive MRP model of Australian federal voting intention for Oct/Nov 2025. Seat-by-seat projections across all 150 House of Representatives electorates.
· 1 November 2025
DemosAU Multi-Level Regression and Poststratification (MRP) model of Australian federal voting intention, October/November 2025.
This comprehensive report projects seat-by-seat outcomes across all 150 House of Representatives electorates, using age, gender, education, income, state, region and 2025 Federal Election Vote as poststratification variables.
Primary vote (national): ALP 33%, LNP 24%, Greens 13%, One Nation 17%, Other 13%.
The model tracks the emerging disruption of the centre-right vote and the early rise of One Nation support nationally.
How this poll was conducted
- Fieldwork
- 5 October – 11 November 2025
- Sample
- 6,928 respondents
- Population
- Australia
- Method
- Multilevel regression and post-stratification (MRP) model of Australians aged 18+ eligible to vote, from an internet panel sample of 6,928, post-stratified on age, gender, education, income, state, region and 2025 federal election vote. Seat estimates carry an approximate margin of error of ±5%; no effective sample size is reported for an MRP model.