DemosAU Federal Polling Results - August 2026

One Nation has slipped into third place behind Labor and the Coalition, with One Nation's primary vote falling 5 points and Hanson's net personal ratings plummeting -8% since early July, according to today's new poll.

On a primary vote basis, Labor recorded 26% (no change since the July poll), the Coalition 25% (+4%), One Nation 24% (-5%), the Greens 12% (-2%) and Others 13% (+3%).

Hanson's drop in support was also reflected in her personal ratings and preferred PM decline. Hanson's net positive score is now at -17% (-8% since July) while Prime Minister Anthony Albanese improved 4 points to a -19 net positive score.

On preferred prime minister, Albanese led on 35% (no change) while Angus Taylor improved 1 point to 23% and Hanson dropped 4 points to third on 22%.

In a two-way preferred PM between Mr Albanese and Ms Hanson, Ms Hanson dropped 5 points to 32% while Albanese was on 43% (+1%). In a two-way preferred PM match-up with Angus Taylor, Mr Albanese held a more modest 38%-36% lead.

DemosAU Head of Research George Hasanakos said the poll clearly showed Hanson's support amongst women had fallen dramatically.

"In June, 39% of women had a positive view of Ms Hanson compared to 37% having a negative view. In August only 26% of women have a positive view of Ms Hanson while 52% have a negative view. In just two months Hanson's personal ratings amongst women have gone from slightly positive to now deeply negative."

The poll also carries a 20,000-simulation Monte Carlo seat projection, which applies a uniform national swing to DemosAU's May–July 2026 MRP model. It puts Labor on 61 to 73 seats, the Coalition on 32 to 50, One Nation on 26 to 39, the Greens on 0 to 5 and Others on 5 to 10. Seventy-six seats form a majority in the 150-seat House of Representatives.

Fieldwork ran from 18 to 20 August 2026 on an internet panel, with a sample of 1,562 and an effective sample after weighting of 754, giving an effective margin of error of ±3.6% at 95% confidence. No two-party preferred figure is published for this wave.

Our analysis of what moved and what the seat model does with it reads the recontact table, the gender split and the seat projection in full. If you are new to reading a poll, our guide to what a primary vote, a margin of error and a seat projection actually tell you covers the ideas this wave turns on.