Rowville

Rowville covers 61.81 square kilometres, and Rowville and Scoresby lie wholly in the district. The district holds 91.7 per cent of the gazetted locality of Knoxfield and 83.4 per cent of Wantirna South, both shared with Bayswater, and 45.0 per cent of Lysterfield, shared with Monbulk.

Enrolment stood at 50,344 in September 2026, up 606, or 1.2 per cent, on the 49,738 electors enrolled in 2022. The district adjoins Bayswater to the north, Monbulk to the east, Narre Warren North to the south-east, Dandenong to the south, Mulgrave to the south-west and Glen Waverley to the west. At the 2021 Census its localities held 66,874 people on an area-weighted estimate, 17.4 per cent of them aged 65 and over, and 17.9 per cent of occupied dwellings were rented.

Kim Wells has held Rowville for the Liberal Party since the district's first election on 29 November 2014. He was first elected to the Legislative Assembly on 3 October 1992 as the member for Wantirna and sat for Scoresby from 30 November 2002. He was Treasurer from 2 December 2010 to 13 March 2013 and Minister for Police and Emergency Services from 13 March 2013 to 4 December 2014. He has been Deputy Chair of the Integrity and Oversight Committee since 6 March 2023 and Chair of the Parliamentary Ethics Committee since 11 September 2025. His inaugural speech was on 27 October 1992, and his profile lists a valedictory speech on 8 September 2026. There has been no change of party and no vacancy since the 2022 election. His record is on his Parliament of Victoria profile, read 26 October 2026, and the hub lists him as the member as at 17 October 2026.

Seven candidates stood on 26 November 2022. Wells polled 17,600 first preferences, 40.6 per cent, and Mannie Kaur Verma of Labor 14,283, 32.9 per cent. Nicole Seymour, an independent, polled 5,231, 12.1 per cent, and Angelica Di Camillo of the Greens 3,055, 7.0 per cent; the other three polled between 2.0 and 3.3 per cent. Of 45,439 votes cast by 91.4 per cent of the 49,738 electors enrolled, 2,070 were informal, 4.6 per cent.

The count ran to five exclusions. Burgess's 2,354 votes went 858 to Seymour, 36.4 per cent, and 768 to Wells. Di Camillo's 3,711 went 2,471 to Verma, 66.6 per cent. Seymour was excluded last with 6,976 votes: 4,155 of them, 59.6 per cent, went to Wells and 2,821, 40.4 per cent, to Verma. The final count was 23,274 to 20,095, 53.7 to 46.3 per cent, a Liberal margin of 3.7 points; a shift of 1,590 votes at that last exclusion would have reversed it. Against the Commission's estimate of the 2018 vote on the 2021 boundaries, Labor 44.5 per cent, the result was a swing of 1.8 points to Labor; against the 2018 result on the old boundaries, Labor 44.3, it was 2.0 points to Labor.

Of the 45,436 votes in the Commission's two-candidate count, 20,917, or 46.0 per cent, were early votes, and they split 55.0 to 45.0 for the Liberal Party, a lead of 2,006 votes. The 17,664 election-day votes, 38.9 per cent, split 51.4 per cent to the Liberal Party, a lead of 484; postal votes, 11.1 per cent, split 58.0 to the Liberal Party, a lead of 778; absent votes, 3.7 per cent, split 51.2 to Labor, a lead of 38.

The Liberal Party led at seven of the 12 voting centres, with Karoo at 55.9 per cent of the two-candidate vote, Lysterfield at 55.4 and Rowville East at 53.1 its strongest. Labor led at five, with Knox Gardens at 53.0 per cent, Wantirna South at 51.2 and Heany Park at 50.6 its strongest. The Liberal booths are Lysterfield and Karoo in the east, Rowville, Rowville East, Knox Park, Scoresby and Flamingo; the Labor booths are Knox Gardens, Wantirna South and Carrington in the north-west and Heany Park and Park Ridge in the south. Every election-day booth sat within six points of an even split. Of the Liberal lead of 3,230 in the two-candidate count, 484 came on election day, 2,006 from early votes and 778 from postal votes.

The Commission's historical pattern for Rowville begins in 2014, the first election on the boundaries drawn in 2013; there is no result under the district's name for 2010. In 2014 Wells won 53.8 per cent of first preferences, an absolute majority, 18,758 first preferences, and the indicative two-candidate count gave him 58.4 per cent, a margin of 8.4 points. Enrolment grew from 38,834 in 2014 to 39,893 in 2018, when he again won on first preferences, 50.4 per cent or 17,551 votes, and the indicative count gave him 55.7 per cent, a margin of 5.7 points.

The 2021 redivision enlarged a district that had fallen to 18.01 per cent below the enrolment quota by 30 November 2020. The Commission moved the northern boundary into Ferntree Gully District, which brought 14,689 electors in. It had proposed High Street Road and the Burwood Highway as the line with Bayswater and settled on the Burwood Highway, Scoresby Road and the Ferntree Gully locality, which moved 6,957 electors in Ferntree Gully to Bayswater and 5,366 in Wantirna South to Rowville. It moved 706 electors in Lysterfield South to Narre Warren North, 2,183 to Monbulk and 1,450 to Bayswater, and the redrawn district held 50,219 electors, 3.28 per cent above the average. The Commission estimated the 2018 vote on the new boundaries at 55.5 per cent to the Coalition and 44.5 to Labor, a notional Coalition margin of 5.5 points. There has been no by-election since 2022.

Rowville is the fifth rung on the Coalition side of the Assembly pendulum, with a margin of 3.7 points among the 23 seats the Coalition holds against Labor, in the 2 to 6 band. A uniform two-party swing to Labor of more than 3.7 points changes the seat. The polls' average since the change of Premier stood at 54.0 to 46.0 to the Coalition on 26 October 2026, from ten polls, against a 2022 statewide result of 55.0 to 45.0 to Labor, an implied uniform swing of 9.0 points to the Coalition. At that swing the Liberal share in Rowville rises from 53.7 to 62.7 per cent, and the 25 seats the average reaches are all Labor-held, so Rowville is not among them. Every poll in the average is on the Victorian election polls tracker, and the leaders' ratings are on the pages for Ben Carroll's approval rating and Jess Wilson's approval rating.

In 2022 the count turned on Seymour's 6,976 last-exclusion votes, which went 59.6 per cent to Wells, and on the early and postal votes, where the Liberal Party led by 2,006 and 778. The electorate that votes on 28 November 2026 holds 50,344 electors against 49,738 in 2022.

Rowville is one of the eleven districts of South-Eastern Metropolitan Region, which elects five members of the Legislative Council. In 2022 the quota was 78,296 votes and the members elected, in order, were Lee Tarlamis (Labor), Ann-Marie Hermans (Liberal), Michael Galea (Labor), Rachel Payne (Legalise Cannabis Victoria) and David Limbrick (Liberal Democrats). All five sit as at 17 October 2026, Limbrick for the Libertarian Party. The region and its members are set out in the Council section of the hub.

Results, enrolment, boundaries and the timetable are from the Victorian Electoral Commission; the 2022 result is its distribution of preferences and the booth shares its two-candidate-preferred count by voting centre. Members are from the Parliament of Victoria as at 17 October 2026; enrolment is as at September 2026. Boundaries, localities and postcodes are Vicmap Admin, © State of Victoria, CC BY 4.0, matched to the district by area. Population figures are the Australian Bureau of Statistics 2021 Census, area-weighted by locality. The polls' average is the Victorian election 2026 hub's register, updated 26 October 2026.