Polling Report
· 13 February 2026
DemosAU VIC State Polling Results - February 2026
The poll shows a surge in support for One Nation, but the Liberal National Coalition remains in poll position. The survey of 1,274 Victorian voters, conducted from 1-10 February 2026, shows One Nation's primary vote reaching 21%, behind Labor on 23% (down 13.7% from the last election) and the Coalition on 29% (down 5.5%). The Greens are on 15% (up 3.5%), while Others are on 12% (down 5%).
· 13 February 2026
On a two-party preferred basis, the Liberals National Coalition lead Labor 53% to 47% - an 8% swing from the last election.
Liberal leader Jess Wilson leads Premier Jacinta Allan as preferred premier 40% to 31%.
How this poll was conducted
- Fieldwork
- 1–10 February 2026
- Sample
- 1,274 respondents (716 effective, after weighting)
- Margin of error
- ±3.7%
- Population
- Victoria
- Method
- Internet panel survey of Victorians aged 18+ eligible to vote, rim weighted by Age × gender, education, personal income, residential tenure, region, 2025 federal vote, and left–right self-identification. State voting intention was the first substantive question after demographics.
- Commissioned by
- Premier National