Polling Report
· 15 June 2026
DemosAU VIC State Polling Results - June 2026
The state Liberal National Coalition has extended its lead ahead of the Victorian election, with Labor relegated to third party place on primary votes by a rising One Nation vote. The DemosAU poll of 1,056 voters between 7 and 11 June 2026 shows the Coalition leading Labor on a two-party preferred basis 55 to 45.
· 15 June 2026
The LNP are leading on primary votes (30%), One Nation second on 23%, and Labor on 21%. The Greens are steady on 15% and Others on 11%. Labor recorded a -2% swing since DemosAU's February poll, making it a -15.7% swing since the last election. One Nation is up 2% since February and the LNP 1%.
How this poll was conducted
- Fieldwork
- 7–11 June 2026
- Sample
- 1,056 respondents (654 effective, after weighting)
- Margin of error
- ±3.8%
- Population
- Victoria
- Method
- Internet panel survey of Victorians aged 18+ eligible to vote, rim weighted by Age × gender, education, personal income, residential tenure, region, 2025 federal vote, and left–right self-identification. State voting intention was the first substantive question after demographics.
- Commissioned by
- Premier National